East Tennessee St.
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#65
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#26
Pace64.8#285
Improvement+1.1#133

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#72
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#44
Layup/Dunks+2.7#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
Freethrows+1.1#96
Improvement-0.4#195

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+3.7#68
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#132
Layups/Dunks-0.5#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#17
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+1.5#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round31.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 22 - 23 - 3
Quad 312 - 015 - 3
Quad 412 - 127 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 333   @ Tennessee Martin W 92-75 93%     1 - 0 +8.2 +2.8 +4.7
  Nov 14, 2019 140   Winthrop W 61-58 81%     2 - 0 +1.7 -6.6 +8.6
  Nov 19, 2019 1   @ Kansas L 63-75 8%     2 - 1 +11.7 +0.9 +11.2
  Nov 23, 2019 347   Delaware St. W 98-66 99%     3 - 1 +12.3 +6.5 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2019 177   Southern Utah W 70-58 86%     4 - 1 +8.5 -2.0 +10.5
  Nov 26, 2019 182   Appalachian St. W 78-69 87%     5 - 1 +5.2 +5.7 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2019 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 67-63 61%     6 - 1 +9.4 +6.2 +3.8
  Dec 04, 2019 335   @ The Citadel W 96-84 94%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +2.9 +10.6 -8.7
  Dec 07, 2019 121   @ North Dakota St. L 68-78 57%     7 - 2 -3.7 +0.4 -4.6
  Dec 18, 2019 36   @ LSU W 74-63 28%     8 - 2 +25.3 +9.8 +16.6
  Dec 21, 2019 310   Cleveland St. W 80-55 96%     9 - 2 +13.5 +4.8 +9.2
  Jan 01, 2020 148   Wofford W 49-48 82%     10 - 2 2 - 0 -0.7 -16.2 +15.7
  Jan 04, 2020 83   @ Furman L 56-65 45%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +0.4 -8.7 +8.5
  Jan 08, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro W 64-57 49%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +15.3 -0.3 +15.9
  Jan 11, 2020 252   VMI W 61-55 93%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -2.3 -10.2 +8.6
  Jan 15, 2020 321   Samford W 88-63 96%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +12.0 +6.6 +5.5
  Jan 18, 2020 155   @ Western Carolina W 85-66 66%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +22.9 +12.9 +10.5
  Jan 25, 2020 143   Chattanooga W 75-64 82%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +9.5 +1.4 +8.4
  Jan 29, 2020 187   Mercer L 55-71 87%     15 - 4 7 - 2 -20.2 -17.0 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro W 82-65 71%     16 - 4 8 - 2 +19.3 +18.4 +2.1
  Feb 05, 2020 143   @ Chattanooga W 80-64 64%     17 - 4 9 - 2 +20.5 +17.8 +4.8
  Feb 08, 2020 187   @ Mercer W 73-60 73%     18 - 4 10 - 2 +14.8 +0.8 +13.8
  Feb 12, 2020 335   The Citadel W 91-67 97%     19 - 4 11 - 2 +8.9 +11.8 -2.5
  Feb 15, 2020 252   @ VMI W 72-67 84%     20 - 4 12 - 2 +2.7 +1.9 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2020 83   Furman W 75-66 68%     21 - 4 13 - 2 +12.3 +8.7 +4.2
  Feb 22, 2020 321   @ Samford W 80-74 91%     22 - 4 14 - 2 -0.9 +5.9 -6.5
  Feb 26, 2020 148   @ Wofford W 60-54 64%     23 - 4 15 - 2 +10.3 -9.8 +20.3
  Feb 29, 2020 155   Western Carolina W 68-67 83%     24 - 4 16 - 2 -1.1 -7.9 +6.8
  Mar 07, 2020 252   VMI W 70-57 89%     25 - 4 +7.7 -7.2 +14.7
  Mar 08, 2020 155   Western Carolina W 97-75 76%     26 - 4 +22.9 +17.3 +4.6
  Mar 09, 2020 148   Wofford W 72-58 74%     27 - 4 +15.3 +10.0 +7.4
Projected Record 27 - 4 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.9 0.1 0.2 1.2 6.1 16.0 53.0 23.5
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.9 0.1 0.2 1.2 6.1 16.0 53.0 23.5